AVHL Model · 2026–27
Odds
Matchup probabilities generated from the same live rosters and active lineups that feed the AVHL simulator, then converted into fair model lines.
AVHL Monte Carlo
Game Odds
25,000 score simulations per matchup using the current dressed lineup, line deployment, special-teams units, starting goalie, and live player ratings. Lines are model probabilities with no house edge.
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The odds board uses the same lineup source of truth as the game simulator.
Lineup aware
Owner-saved lineups are priced when valid. If a trade or injury creates an open slot, the same temporary repair used by the simulator is priced without overwriting the owner lineup.
Rating aware
Shot creation, playmaking, skating, defending, faceoffs, discipline, special teams, and the starting goalie's full save profile all influence expected scoring.
Score only
The Monte Carlo stores only final score outcomes. It does not create official games, player stats, injuries, or Google Sheet rows.